Models for transmission and control of bioterroristic epidemics
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Authors
Gaver, Donald Paul
Jacobs, Patricia A.
Bullock, Gregory
Simons, Robert
Subjects
Bioterrorism
Mathematical models
Vaccination
Mathematical models
Vaccination
Advisors
Date of Issue
2004
Date
2004
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
A deterministic model for control of a bioterrorist epidemic in a large nonhomogeneous population is presented. Primary considerations in model development are the representation of a large nonhomogeneous population of individuals and the implementation of the model for quick numerical execution. The model represents the effect of mass pre-vaccination and mass vaccination during the epidemic. It is recognized that the vaccination can result in life threatening complications. The model also represents the effect of tracing and quarantining as control options. The model has been implemented in Java for a Web-based educational tool. Numerical examples (pp. 12-15) illustrate possible behavior of populations exposed to such a disease as smallpox. Various disease controls such as vaccination and case tracing are studied.
Type
Technical Report
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
NPS-OR-04-006
Sponsors
Funding
Format
19 p.;28 cm.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.