Delay analysis of Pacific Fleet Underway Replenishments
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Authors
Douglas, Carlysle Arden
Subjects
Underway replenishment
Operational analysis
Replenishment at sea
Replenishment delays
Replenishment characteristics
Operational analysis
Replenishment at sea
Replenishment delays
Replenishment characteristics
Advisors
Milch, Paul R.
Date of Issue
1970-04
Date
April 1970
Publisher
Monterey, California; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
An operational analysis of the delays incurred in Underway Replenishments of the Pacific Fleet, December, 1967 - April, 1969, is conducted. Twenty specific delays are analyzed from the UNREP data of which more than 80%, was from UNREPs conducted in Southeast Asia by supply ships providing logistic support to naval units engaged in combat operations. Delay occurrence distributions are derived; delay time distributions are derived, and tested for goodness-of-fit with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Delay as a function of the following UNREP attributes is analyzed: supply ship class, receiver ship type, time: day or night, location: EASTPAC or WESTPAC, simultaneous receivers or a single receiver, delivery method, product delivered, length of supply ship deployment, and weather. Hypothesis testing of delay occurrence parameters for UNREP attributes is done, and causes of delays are discussed. A method, based on the use of conditional probabilities and Bayes' Theorem, of predicting a delay occurrence prior to an UNREP when the UNREP attributes are known is presented
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Department of Operations Analysis
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.