THE ELUSIVE STATE: THE FAILURE OF IRAQI KURDS TO SECURE INDEPENDENCE
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Authors
Mazen, Richard S.
Subjects
Kurds
Kurdistan
Iraqi Kurds
Iraq
secession
sovereignty
self-determination
Middle East
U.S. Policy
invasion of Iraq
Gulf War
internal movement cohesion
fragmentation
external recognition
balance of power
Barzani
Talabani
KDP
PUK
Kurdistan
Iraqi Kurds
Iraq
secession
sovereignty
self-determination
Middle East
U.S. Policy
invasion of Iraq
Gulf War
internal movement cohesion
fragmentation
external recognition
balance of power
Barzani
Talabani
KDP
PUK
Advisors
Baylouny, Anne M.
Date of Issue
2019-12
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The collapse of the Ottoman Empire brought about significant changes for the political structure of the Middle East. The Kurds emerged as one of the largest ethnic groups striving for independence. However, Kurdish efforts at independence failed despite periods of significant opportunity. This thesis aims to address why Iraqi Kurds have failed to establish an independent state. Three main theoretical explanations are offered: the degree of internal cohesion, external recognition, and balances of power. The theoretical explanations are considered in the context of historical periods of opportunity, primarily focused on the post-Ottoman period, post-1991 Gulf War, and post-2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq. Analysis of Kurdish history reveals that no single factor was responsible for the lack of Kurdish independence. Instead, internal cohesion is interdependent with external recognition and regional balances of power. Kurdish internal fragmentation negatively impacted efforts for independence, which was reinforced by proxy relationships and the interests of other states. Furthermore, strategic interests of powers such as Britain and the United States undermined the Iraqi Kurds’ ability to attain external recognition. In the most recent era since 2003, Iraqi Kurds have made significant strides toward increased autonomy. However, the historical factors of internal fragmentation, regional balance of power, and lack of external recognition continue to undermine independence.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
National Security Affairs (NSA)
Organization
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NPS Report Number
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Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.