An examination of high quality enlistees on a Recruiting district level.
Loading...
Authors
Irlam, Ross Edward
Subjects
Enlistment Forecast
Recruiting
Statistical Model of Enlistments
Box-Jenkins Model
Economic Determinents of Enlistment
Recruiting
Statistical Model of Enlistments
Box-Jenkins Model
Economic Determinents of Enlistment
Advisors
Thomas, G.W.
McKenzie, Ed
Date of Issue
1984
Date
June 1984
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
Two distinct analytical techniques were used to develop
nodels to forecast the number of high quality non prior
service nales enlisting monthly in the U.S. Navy on a
recruiting district level. The Box-Jenkins methodology was
applied to a monthly time series of enlistments for the
period Octcter 1978 to September 1983. A multiple regression
causal model vas developed rased on the explanitory variables:
numbers of unemployed, change in the rate of unemployment and military/civilian pay ratio. A combined time
series/causal model was developed by applying the
Eox-Jer-kins technigue to the residuals of the multiple
regression. These uodels were compared for predictive
validity, fiecom&endations for further development of models
containing explicit time series elements are presented.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Administrative Sciences
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.