Forecasting aircraft mishaps using monthly maintenance reports

dc.contributor.advisorLewis, Peter A.W.
dc.contributor.authorVan Houten, John S.
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School
dc.contributor.departmentOperations Research
dc.contributor.schoolNaval Postgraduate School
dc.contributor.secondreaderKemple, William G.
dc.date.accessioned2013-02-15T23:31:52Z
dc.date.available2013-02-15T23:31:52Z
dc.date.issued1994-09
dc.description.abstractNaval Aviation aircraft mishaps continue to be of great concern due to the high cost of loss of life and aircraft. The goal of this thesis is to develop a predictive statistical model that accurately forecasts Marine Corps AV-8B Harrier aircraft mishaps based on existing monthly maintenance reports. Monthly maintenance reports provide numerous independent variables based on personnel levels and maintenance hours that could possibly be used to forecast aircraft mishaps. These variables were graphically analyzed to determine any relationships that could be exploited in developing the model. Higher order relationships were investigated by the method of principal components and logistic regression. After a thorough analysis, there appears to be no combination of variables in this particular data that could be used to forecast aircraft mishaps. The overall result of the thesis is that there is no relationship between monthly maintenance reports and aircraft mishaps that can be exploited to develop a predictive statistical modelen_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
dc.description.serviceMajor, United States Marine Corpsen_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/forecastingircra1094528228
dc.format.extent67 p.;28 cm.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10945/28228
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.subject.lcshOperations Researchen_US
dc.titleForecasting aircraft mishaps using monthly maintenance reportsen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineOperations Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S. in Operations Researchen_US
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