Publication:
Democratization and Civil War

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Authors
Armey, Laura E.
McNab, Robert M.
Subjects
Civil War
Democracy
Conflict
Democratization
Outcomes of War
Advisors
Date of Issue
2013-06-04
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School.
Language
Abstract
This paper examines the impact of civil war on democracy. Drawing from the literature on war and democracy, we investigate the impact of prolonged violence, war termination, rebel victory, and international intervention on democratization. Using an unbalanced panel data set of 96 countries covering a 34-year period, our analysis suggests that civil war lowers democratization in the succeeding period. Our findings suggest that United Nations intervention increases democratization, as do wars ending in stalemates. However, wars ending in rebel victories seem to reduce democracy. These findings appear robust to conditioning, different instrument sets, and the measurement of democracy.
Type
Working Paper
Description
Draft 6/4/2013
Series/Report No
Department
Business and Public Policy (GSBPP)
Other Units
Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
27 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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