Strategies for Addressing Uncertain Markets and Uncertain Technologies
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Authors
Rouse, William
Verma, Dinesh
Lucero, D. Scott
Hanawalt, Edward
Subjects
Advisors
Date of Issue
2021-05-10
Date
05/10/21
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Engineering involves designing solutions to meet the needs of markets or missions. Organizations would like to have the flexibility and agility to address both uncertain needs and uncertain technologies for meeting these needs. This article presents and illustrates a decision framework that enables flexibility and agility and provides guidance on when to pursue optimal, highly integrated solutions. We consider how uncertainties arise, contrasting the automotive and defense domains. We propose an approach to managing uncertainties. We consider how to represent alternative solutions and project the value of each alternative, including how market or mission requirements can be translated into system requirements. Possible use cases for our framework are discussed. A detailed case study of autonomous vehicles for enhancing the mobility of disabled and older adults is presented.
Type
Presentation
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Acquisition Research Program (ARP)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
SYM-AM-21-066
Sponsors
Prepared for the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA 93943.
Naval Postgraduate School
Naval Postgraduate School
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.