The Hurricane Decision Simulator: A Tool for Marine Forces in New Orleans to Practice Operations Management in Advance of a Hurricane
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Authors
Regnier, Eva D.
MacKenzie, Cameron A.
Subjects
Simulation
Risk Management
OM Practice
public sector
Risk Management
OM Practice
public sector
Advisors
Date of Issue
2018
Date
2018
Publisher
INFORMS
Language
Abstract
The U.S. Marine Forces Reserve (MFR) in New Orleans is frequently threatened by hurricanes. To protect the safety of personnel and their families while maintaining mission capability, the Commander must make timely decisions to set up an alternate headquarters and allow for an orderly evacuation. The MFR relies on forecasts from the National Hurricane Center, but these forecasts are uncertain, are updated frequently, and can be difficult to interpret in the context of the MFR’s decision timeline. In addition, there are few opportunities to learn from experience. We developed the Hurricane Decision Simulator (HDS) to allow MFR personnel to practice making preparation decisions in the context of many realistic simulated storms and forecasts, and to develop a better understanding of the decision sequence, the forecast products, and their relationship. The HDS has improved the MFR’s training and readiness for hurricane preparation operations and decision making by enabling more and better focused training and is being extended to other facilities.
Type
Article
Description
The article of record as published may be found at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2017.0694
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research (OR)
Business and Public Policy (GSBPP)
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Support is from the Naval Postgraduate School’s Naval Research Program and the Marine Forces Reserve.
Funder
Format
18 p.
Citation
Eva D. Regnier, Cameron A. MacKenzie (2019) The Hurricane Decision Simulator: A Tool for Marine Forces in New Orleans to Practice Operations Management in Advance of a Hurricane. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 21(1):103-120.
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.