A comparison of classical and Bayesian methods for determining lower confidence limits on system reliability.

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Authors
Kirk, Gary Lee
Subjects
Bayesian
beta distribution
lower confidence limits
reliability
system reliability
Advisors
Woods, W.M.
Date of Issue
1972-09
Date
September 1972
Publisher
Language
en_US
Abstract
A series system is simulated to obtain lower confidence limits on system reliability using Bayesian techniques. A comparison between classical and Bayesian methods is made. Random beta variate generators are developed and used in the simulation. The results of the simulation are tabulated for easy comparison of the Bayesian and classical methods. The values of lower confidence limits that are realized using the Bayesian method decrease as the number of components increase. In most cases, as the number of components increase, the Bayesian method appears to yield lower values of lower confidence limits than the classical method.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research and Administrative Sciences
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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