A Comparison of Two Personnel Prediction Models
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Authors
Marshall, Kneale T.
Subjects
Manpower
Personnel
Prediction
Markov Chains
Cohort Models
Retention
Personnel
Prediction
Markov Chains
Cohort Models
Retention
Advisors
Date of Issue
1971-01
Date
January 1971
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
This paper describes, compares, and contrasts two mathematical models of personnel movement through a hierarchical organization. The first model is a Markov chain, which is described in detail in other literature. The emphasis in this paper is on a cohort model based on people's lifetime behavior in the system. Data from student enrollments is used in comparing the models, and predictions are made and compared with numbers from real situations.
Type
Technical Report
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
NPS55MT7101lA
Sponsors
Office of Naval Research
Office of Institutional Research at the University of California at Berkeley
Ford Foundation
Office of Institutional Research at the University of California at Berkeley
Ford Foundation
Funder
NR047-096
Format
36 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.