Data-Driven Monetization of Acquisition Risk
Loading...
Authors
Morse, Katherine
Drake, David L.
Subjects
Risk Analysis
continuous risk management, risk analysis, cloud, accessibility
continuous risk management, risk analysis, cloud, accessibility
Advisors
Date of Issue
2012-04-30
Date
30-Apr-12
Publisher
Language
Abstract
The current state of practice in program risk assessment relies on the best judgment of program management and systems engineering to identify and qualitatively assess the nature and probability of risks. While there are best practices and lessons learned upon which the risk assessment process can rely, the process is still heavily qualitative and is performed by program management and systems engineering staff that are inherently optimistic about program success. As a result, risks and their consequences are frequently underestimated. We propose a methodology that actively collects, and continuously and quantitatively analyzes, metrics that are earlier indicators of risk than cost and schedule slips. This methodology includes the application of web-based technologies for collection and analysis, a quantified risk cloud and monetized risk thresholds, establishing a readily accessible knowledge base of previous program failures, and new metrics to be collected closer to the source of risk.
Type
Report
Description
Proceedings Paper (for Acquisition Research Program)
Series/Report No
Department
Acquisition Management
Other Research Faculty
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
NPS-AM-12-C9P03R01-046
Sponsors
Naval Postgraduate School Acquisition Research Program
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.