Over a Decade Later: What Now? What Next? A Multilayered Assessment of Terrorism in its Current and Future Manifestation
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2013
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2013
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Abstract
This report is primarily an analytical product intended to provide a range of perspectives on terrorism and possible responses to it. Contributors to this report come from three primary groups: social science researchers, interagency analysts, and military operations officers. In essence, it is a marriage of contemporary social science theory, applied research, and hard-earned operational experience. The paper is limited in scope and is intended to challenge the reader to ask better, more relevant questions about terrorism. It aims to be “descriptive” not “prescriptive,” though a degree of implied bias may be evident in parts. The purpose of this paper is to accomplish the following:
• explore how scholars, practitioners, and operators delineate and frame “terrorism”1 in both its current manifestation and as anticipated in the future; and
• seek to better refine and address the “disease” (preconditions, perceptions, and underlying drivers) and not just the “symptoms” (terrorist attacks) of terrorism.
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Description
List of Discussion Session Participants: Mr. Gary Ackerman (START), Dr. John Arquilla (NPS), Dr. Victor Asal (SUNY-Albany), Maj David Blair (Harvard University), Mr. Randy Burkett (NPS), Dr. Bill Casebeer (DARPA), Dr. Steve Corman (Arizona State University), Dr. Martha Crenshaw (Stanford University), Dr. Bill Durodie? (Royal Roads University, Canada) , Ms. Laurie Fenstermacher (USAF), Mr. Dan Flynn (DNI/NIC), Dr. Heather Gregg (NPS), Dr. Tawfik Hamid (Potomac Institute for Policy Studies), Mr. Berto Jongman (Dutch MOD), Mr. Scott Kesterson (Spatial Terra), COL Patrick Mahaney (ASWG), Dr. David Mandel (DRDC), Dr. Clark McCauley (Bryn Mawr College), Dr. Rodrigo Nieto Gomez (NPS), CAPT Wayne Porter (NPS), Ms. Farhana Qazi (Booz Allen Hamilton), Dr. Maria Rasmussen (NPS), LTC Michael Richardson (ASWG), Dr. Fouzia Saeed (Mehergarh), Dr. John Sawyer (START), Dr. Kalev Sepp (NPS), Mr. Mubin Shaikh (Liverpool University), MSG Sohail Shaikh (ASWG), Dr. Valerie Sitterle (Georgia Tech), MAJ Jason Spitaletta (JHU/APL), Dr. Peter Suedfeld (University of British Columbia)
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Citation
“Over a Decade Later: What Now? What Next? A Multilayered Assessment of Terrorism in its Current and Future Manifestation,” Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA), Department of Defense, Joint Chiefs of Staff, June 2013.
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.