Forecasting model for future needs requirements for spare parts in FMS sales

Abstract

This research focuses on Italy, Brazil and the Republic of Korea, how each purchased the US Marine Corps' Advanced Amphibious Vehicle (AAV), and how each supports the AAV through the life-cycle requirements. The thesis provides insights through an in-depth analysis of each country's political, economic and defense aspects. A predictive model determines the support requirements on future FMS sales by studying the past. Thus, the Marine Corps can estimate the future requests for spare parts in support of the AAAV. The research identifies political stability, economies of scale, and trust between the foreign government and the seller as the major factors needed to predict decisions about procurement of spare parts through FMS.