Forecasting Navy issue and receipt workload at Defense Logistics Agency depots
Loading...
Authors
Warbrick, Perry A.
Subjects
Advisors
Gue, K.R.
Liao, Shu
Date of Issue
1996-12
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
Each year the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) asks the military services to estimate their future issue and receipt workload demands at DLA distribution depots. DLA uses these estimates to determine expected costs and revenues at the distribution depots. Accurate workload forecasting allows DLA planners to establish appropriate surcharges for their services. Inaccurate estimates can lead to higher costs to DLA and, ultimately, to the Navy. We evaluate current Navy forecasting methods and develop several causative factors that influence issue and receipt workload. We present single and multiple regression models to predict future issue and receipt demands and compare these models with those currently used by Naval Supply Systems Command. Our results suggest that causal based modeling is a feasible alternative to current models and may more accurately estimate future issue and receipt workload for the Navy
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Management
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
viii, 66 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.