Modeling insurgency attrition and population influence in irregular warfare
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Authors
Howell, Jeffrey M.
Subjects
Advisors
Kress, Moshe
Date of Issue
2007-06
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
We develop a model that is a combination of Lanchester and Deitchman attrition models and population epidemic models. Based on different attrition, recruitment, and transition rules we study the relationships between dynamic population flow and insurgency success or failure. The goal of our work is to provide an analytical framework for these situations and to analyze the effect of different initial conditions and interactions on the success or failure of an insurgency. The models developed herein are descriptive, not predictive, and are designed to give decision makers an insight into a complex insurgency process.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funding
Format
xvi, 59 p. : ill. (some col.) ;
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.