Estimating the Depth of the Navy Recruiting Market
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Authors
Buttrey, Samuel E.
Whitaker, Lyn R.
Subjects
Advisors
Date of Issue
2016
Date
Period of Performance: 09/01/2015 – 01/31/2017
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
This report summarizes work done for the Navy Recruiting Command (NRC) through the Naval Postgraduate School’s Navy Reimbursable Program (NRP). It includes a description of two theses, those of Monaghan (2016) and Fulton (2016). Both theses are deliverables for this project. We get around the problem that numbers of recruits are determined by recruiting effort by considering national leads. We conclude that using ZIP-code level can induce both noise and correlation and common approaches neglect important spatial correlations. If ZIP codes are to be used there should be a process to detect those that can never produce recruits. Zero-inflated negative binomial and random forest models both tend to over-predict recruits in highly-populated areas. We recommend fitting separate models in separate areas using Navy-specific data.
Type
Report
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
NPS_N16-N271-A
Sponsors
Naval Research Program
Prepared for Topic Sponsor: Navy Recruiting Command, Research POC Name: CNRC N5 Lloyd Callis
Prepared for Topic Sponsor: Navy Recruiting Command, Research POC Name: CNRC N5 Lloyd Callis
Funding
NPS_N16-N271-A
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.