Determining the number of reenlistments necessary to satisfy future force requirements

Abstract

RA requested that these models be examined in an effort to combine the functionality of each. This thesis builds a model that does just that. The fundamental concept of the model involves taking the current inventory of Marines (by military occupational specialty [MOS] and grade) and applying transition rates to each of them in order to determine how many are in what state at the end of the upcoming year. The necessary number of reenlistments is then calculated by subtracting the forecasted inventory from a desired force structure known as the Grade Adjusted Recapitulation. Manpower planners can use the results of this model to establish the number of boat spaces for each of the first-term MOSs as well as recommended reenlistment goals for the subsequent-term MOSs.