A South China Sea ADIZ--Vietnam's next challenge
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Authors
Ho, Duc L.
Subjects
ADIZ
SCS ADIZ
ECS ADIZ
South China Sea
East China Sea
Vietnam
SCS ADIZ
ECS ADIZ
South China Sea
East China Sea
Vietnam
Advisors
Malley, Michael
Date of Issue
2016-06
Date
Jun-16
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
When China declared its East China Sea (ECS) Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) in November 2013, the declaration sparked fears that it would soon implement similar zones over the South China Sea (SCS), further exacerbating tensions in the region. Since Vietnam is projected to be the country most affected by China's SCS ADIZ, this thesis focuses on how Vietnam's leaders might respond. To do so, this thesis reviews reactions from Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan during the 2013 ECS ADIZ crisis to identify a range of possible responses for Vietnam. It then explores how Vietnam has responded to past territorial disputes from China--both land and maritime--to identify similar challenges that an ADIZ might pose. Finally, it analyzes the range of responses within the context of Vietnam's current strategies toward China. Research reveals that Vietnam has four major policy options: bilateral diplomacy, multilateralization/arbitration, complete defiance, and a mixture of civilian appeasement and military nonrecognition. The policy option Vietnam chooses will depend largely on its leadership preferences as well as domestic and geopolitical factors.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
National Security Affairs
Organization
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Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.