U.S. Coast Guard fleet mix planning: a decision support system prototype
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Authors
Cortez, Louis A.
Kaiser, Thomas J.
Subjects
Advisors
Bhargava, Hemant K.
Date of Issue
1993-06
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
The objective of this thesis is to analyze the fleet mix planning problem,
develop an approach to evaluate alternative fleet mixes, and implement the
approach in a decision support system (DSS). In particular, this research is
conducted in the context of the acquisition of a mix of patrol boats to replace
the aging Point Class patrol boats within the U. S. Coast Guard. The analysis
of an alternative fleet mix involves, among other things, the evaluation of
cost, activity and performance measures for that fleet mix. Several analytic
and forecasting models are used to determine costs and activity measures for
various fleet mixes, and simulation games are played to assess expected
mission performance for each mix under a set of mission scenarios. A rulebased
deductive model is employed to determine and score the response of a
given fleet mix to events occurring during the simulation. These models are
implemented and integrated in a decision support system which combines
the mathematical models with a database system, an expert system, and user
interface tools. It is hoped that repeated use of the system, analysis of the
alternative fleet mixes using a large number of data sets, and post-evaluation analysis and explanations, will help provide the decision-maker insight in to
the problem, and will facilitate a judicious decision.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Information Systems
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funding
Format
65 p.;28 cm.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.