EXPLORING PHARMACEUTICAL LOGISTICS REQUIREMENT FORECASTS FOR CONTESTED ENVIRONMENTS
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Authors
Szad, Sean R.
Chase, Matthew N.
Flores, Wilfred C.
Subjects
ICD
pharmaceuticals
simulation
defense health agency
contested logistics
contested environment
resupply
medical consumables
trauma types
logistics
supply chain
inventory management
medical planning
pharmaceuticals
simulation
defense health agency
contested logistics
contested environment
resupply
medical consumables
trauma types
logistics
supply chain
inventory management
medical planning
Advisors
Regnier, Eva
Hudgens, Bryan J.
Donovan, Kellye, MARCORSYSCOM
Date of Issue
2023-12
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
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Abstract
In NEAR-PEER contested logistics, accurate pharmaceutical estimation and inventory management are crucial for military readiness. Amidst diverse threats across combatant commands, logistics and resource efficiency gain significance. Our research aligns with the Secretary of the Navy's directives, emphasizing efficient resupply and projecting warfighting capabilities from maritime environments. Our study employs a simulation-based model for pharmaceutical estimation in contested environments. Analyzing historical data, we categorize consumable demands by patient categories. Simulation assesses stockout risks, revealing pitfalls in using averages and neglecting variability, even with real patient data-based inventory policies.The study's insights benefit medical professionals, operational logisticians, and military planners, enhancing inventory management, supply chain logistics, and risk mitigation. Planning and allocating pharmaceuticals proactively based on demand predictions considering uncertainty ensure timely medication access. This improves operational medicine capabilities in distributed maritime operations, aligning with the military's evolving needs and strategic directives.
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Thesis
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Distribution Statement
Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.