An analytical approach to assessing the vulnerability of bomb shelters to aerial bombing and artillery attack
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Authors
Yeo, Gim Koon.
Subjects
Munition shelters
Vunerability
Damage assessment
Survivability
Weapons effectiveness
Vunerability
Damage assessment
Survivability
Weapons effectiveness
Advisors
Esary, James Daniel
Date of Issue
1993-09
Date
September 1993
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
This study examines the vulnerability of bomb shelters to aerial bombing and artillery attack, by modelling the bomb dump, i.e., the area within which the bomb shelters are located, as a cellular target. The stochastic process of hitting the dump with aerial bombs or artillery shells is modelled using suitable probability distributions, depending on the scenarios. Two measures of effectiveness are used: (1) The expected proportion of damage to the bomb dump by n weapons (bombs or shells) that are directed at the bomb dump, and (2) The probability that the ith shelter will be damaged due to an attack by n weapons that are directed at the bomb dump. A generalized shelter hardness and vulnerability model is derived. Conditions under which shelter probability of kill and dump expected proportion of damage coincide and are independent of the relative shelter values are discussed. The effectiveness of various defender's and attacker's strategies is considered.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Department of Operations Research
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
46 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.