Nuclear Deterrence and Arms Control Agreements between three Peer Adversaries
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Authors
Crook, Matthew R.
Lan, Wenschel D.
Subjects
Nuclear
Deterrence
Escalation
Great Power
Competition
Deterrence
Escalation
Great Power
Competition
Advisors
Date of Issue
2022
Date
2022
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
This research will investigate the implications of China as a peer nuclear armed adversary and how this effects US deterrence strategy that has traditionally been concerned with bilateral deterrence between the USA and Russia. The introduction of a third peer nuclear armed nation adds significant complexity and dynamics that were not present before. China has not been party to previous nuclear arms control agreements and they have been developing their nuclear capabilities at a faster pace than any other nation. However, they have committed to the Nuclear Nonproliferation treaty and a policy of no first use. It is vital to understand what motivates Chinese leadership, and what would cause them to voluntarily engage in arms control agreements with the purpose of adding stability to nuclear deterrence between the three nations. This research will help understand these issues, as well as offer recommendations to modify US nuclear deterrence to better deter and stabilize deterrence between the US and China while maintaining effective deterrence between the US and Russia. Also, the power dynamics between China and Russia must also be understood to help implement policies to support, and avoid mistakes that could undermine, deterrence between them.
Type
Poster
Description
NPS NRP Project Poster
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
N3/N5 - Plans & Strategy
Funder
This research is supported by funding from the Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program (PE 0605853N/2098). https://nps.edu/nrp
Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)
Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.