Tropical cyclone reconnaissance with the Global Hawk: operational thresholds and characteristics of convective systems over the tropical Western North Pacific

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Authors
Damron, David W.
Subjects
Global Hawk
Tropical Cyclone Reconnaissance
Top of Convective Cloud
Top of Cloud
Cloud-Top Temperature
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Tropical Western North Pacific
Advisors
Harr, Patrick A.
Date of Issue
2013-12
Date
Dec-13
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
In a tropical cyclone (TC), in situ observations measure storm location, intensity, and structure. These parameters are valuable for initializing numerical models and providing forecasters with current conditions on which to base their forecast. Over the western North Pacific (WPAC), a lack of in situ observations in TCs is hypothesized to be one component that contributes to a recent leveling of forecast skill. In this study, the use of a Global Hawk (GH) unmanned aerial vehicle as an observing platform for TCs over the WPAC is examined. It is hypothesized that the GH can greatly benefit the Department of Defense by reducing the uncertainty in TC track forecasts, which has been mandated by the U.S. Pacific Command as a priority for increasing the area of sea maneuverability A limit to successful GH operations is the ability to operate at altitudes above typical cloud tops of WPAC TCs. A climatology of WPAC TC cloud-top heights and temperatures was examined to relate these parameters to storm characteristics. It is concluded that use of a GH for tropical cyclone reconnaissance in the WPAC is a viable option to provide in situ observations of tropical cyclone characteristics for improved model and operational forecasts.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Meteorology
Organization
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NPS Report Number
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Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.