Modeling human elements of decision-making
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Authors
Barsnick, Amy Lynn
Subjects
Advisors
Miller, Nita Lewis
Manago, Saverio
Date of Issue
2002-06
Date
Publisher
Monterey California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Combat models attempt to represent the various factors that can influence combat outcomes. The most difficult of these factors to define and represent are the purely human inputs into the combat equation. These include factors such as personality, emotion, and level of expertise, which vary from individual to individual. The process of decision-making during combat is one of the most problematic modeling challenges. Traditional models of human decision-making do not adequately address the factors listed above. This thesis addresses this issue by proposing an influence diagram, which builds on traditional utility theory to include the human element in combat decision-making. The model is examined by application to three historical case studies. The results show that the outputs of the model are consistent with the end-state of the three historical battles.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
xvii, 63 p. : ill. (some col.) ;
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.