Human Factors in the Joint Typhoon Warning Center Watch Floor
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Authors
Regnier, Eva
Kirlik, Alex
Subjects
Advisors
Date of Issue
2011-03
Date
Mar-11
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
This study evaluates the task and support environments associated with the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) watch floor and provides recommendations to improve forecast accuracy. The principal findings indicate that, at this time, factors in the task environment are very likely limiting forecast accuracy. In particular, system-induced practical and cognitive limits on the forecaster’s repeatability, i.e., the ability to reproduce an identical forecast given identical information, limits forecast accuracy. Thus, forecasters’ performance and forecast accuracy could be enhanced by an information integration system with recommended features, by more precise standard operating procedures, and by training and feedback better matched to the task. Further studies are also recommended.
Type
Technical Report
Description
Revised November 2012.
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
NPS-OR-11-003Rev.
Sponsors
Funding
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.