Game theory, probabilistic risk, and randomized strategy: the rulebook revisited with emphasis on Coast Guard Mission Space
Loading...
Authors
Engel, Ryan S.
Subjects
Game theory; probabilistic risk
randomized strategies; Pittsburgh Three Rivers project; Coast Guard Ports
Waterways
and Coastal Security risk analysis
randomized strategies; Pittsburgh Three Rivers project; Coast Guard Ports
Waterways
and Coastal Security risk analysis
Advisors
Alderson, David L.
Mansager, Bard K.
Date of Issue
2011-12
Date
December 2011
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The welfare of the United States is highly dependent upon its critical infrastructures and key resources. The Marine Transportation System is critical to the flow of commerce. The United States Coast Guard is charged with facilitating the protection of the Marine Transportation System from acts of terrorism under the Port, Waterways, and Coastal Security Mission. The Coast Guard faces the challenge of providing essential protection strategies with limited resources. Optimizing limited resources to provide maximum protection from deliberate attacks is a complex problem. In this thesis we explore various analytic techniques that can be used to provide guidance in resource allocation for defense against terrorism. We focus on two techniques, risk-based analysis and game theoretic analysis. We review the fundamental mathematical concepts and philosophical assumptions necessary for these techniques to be applicable. We review the Coast Guard's role in the protection against potential terrorist attacks. Using a game theory approach, we build a model and present a preliminary analysis on the transportation of commerce along the Pittsburgh Three Rivers area.
Type
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Applied Mathematics
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
xvi, 73 p. : col. ill., 2 col. maps ; 28 cm.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.