On Popular Response to Violence During Insurgencies
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Authors
Kress, Moshe
Atkinson, Michael P.
Subjects
counterinsurgency
collateral damage
targeted actions
popular support
ordinary differential equations
collateral damage
targeted actions
popular support
ordinary differential equations
Advisors
Date of Issue
2012
Date
2012
Publisher
Language
Abstract
Population behavior is a key factor in the evolution and outcome of insurgencies. This behavior is affected by the violence exerted by the key insurgents and the regime. In this paper, we model the effect of targeted (i.e., coercio) and misguided (i.e., collateral casualties) violence on the behavior of the population. It is shown that excess violence and poor targeting accuracy may lead to situations where a population's support for a certain side will vanish.
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Article
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Department
Operations Research (OR)
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Citation
2012 "On Popular Response to Violence During Insurgencies", (with M. Atkinson), Operations Research Letters, V. 40, No. 4, pp 223-229.
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.