Dragon in the shadows: calculating China's advances in the South China Sea

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dc.contributor.advisorKarmel, Solomon M.
dc.contributor.advisorOlsen, Edward A.
dc.contributor.authorStudeman, Michael William
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School
dc.contributor.departmentNational Security Affairs (NSA)
dc.dateMarch 1998
dc.date.accessioned2012-08-09T19:19:51Z
dc.date.available2012-08-09T19:19:51Z
dc.date.issued1998-03-01
dc.description.abstractThe dispute between at least six riparian nations over jurisdictional rights to large tracts of the South China Sea continues to reign as one of the most likely flashpoints in the Asia-Pacific theater. The intentions of the chief protagonist in the conflict, China, will in large measure determine whether this dilemma will be resolved peacefully or violently. Relying on three case studies that focus on China's takeover of the Paracel Islands in 1974, its occupation of six reefs in 1988, and subsequent reef-hopping incidents in 1992 and 1995, this study highlights the conditions under which China expanded its presence in the South China Sea. Based on emerging trends, this thesis asserts that resource competition will most likely spark future violence in the South China Sea, and that domestic pressures within China commit Beijing to a course of hard-shell revanchism. At the same time, regional sensitivities to Chinese 'hegemony' and the correlation of military forces that weakly favor China suggest China will strive to avoid or contain a conflict over the near term. By profiling the character and turning of past Chinese 'aggression' in the South China Sea, this thesis also exposes the stratagems by which Chinese armed forces have pursued national objectives in the region.en_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
dc.description.serviceLieutenant, United States Navyen_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/dragoninshadowsc109458276
dc.format.extent138 p.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10945/8276
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.en_US
dc.subject.authorChinaen_US
dc.subject.authorSouth China Sea disputeen_US
dc.subject.authorSovereignty claims in Southeast Asiaen_US
dc.subject.authorParacel Islandsen_US
dc.subject.authorPeople's Liberation Armyen_US
dc.subject.authorBlue water navyen_US
dc.subject.authorASEANen_US
dc.subject.authorMischief Reefen_US
dc.titleDragon in the shadows: calculating China's advances in the South China Seaen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineNational Security Affairsen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.A. in National Security Affairsen_US
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