INSURGENT USE OF INTERNATIONAL BORDERS
Authors
Moffitt, William P.
Subjects
insurgents
international borders
counterinsurgency
international borders
counterinsurgency
Advisors
Rice, Ian C.
Date of Issue
2025-03
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
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Abstract
Concurrent with great power competition, insurgencies exist as a global challenge, with insurgent groups often exploiting neighboring states for resources and safe havens. However, the state under threat is constrained by international sovereignty laws, limiting its military response. This study examines the factors within a state that best support the state security apparatus in combating cross-border insurgencies, focusing on the state under threat rather than external factors. Using both quantitative regression analysis and qualitative case study methods, the research identifies key variables that are associated with state victories over insurgent forces. The study found that the democracy, education, military personnel strength, and national capabilities are crucial. The most significant variable for state victory is national material capabilities, while the lack of educational engagement among youth also plays a key role in insurgent recruitment. These findings underscore the importance of whole-of-nation development to counter cross-border insurgencies. This research provides critical insights for analysts and policymakers in addressing insurgent threats and highlights the need for integrated social and military support strategies.
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Distribution Statement
Distribution Statement A. Approved for public release: Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.