Planning the unplannable: Scenarios on the future of space
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Authors
Huntley, Wade L.
Bock, Joseph G.
Weingartner, Miranda
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Date of Issue
2005-10
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Abstract
This article explores the use of scenario analysis as a methodology to rigorously analyze potential space futures, particularly with respect to
space security challenges, in the context of rapid and uncertain change across several dimensions of human space activities. The successful use
of scenario analysis in other (e.g. corporate and military) sectors is described and results of an initial scenario analysis workshop are presented.
Scenario analysis is recommended as a promising approach to evaluating the long-term consequences of various policy choices in the context of
uncertainty, and as a process well-suited to fostering communication and building consensual knowledge among diverse stakeholders.
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Article
Description
The article of record as published may be located at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
j.spacepol.2009.11.007
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National Security Affairs
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.