TOWARD AUTOMATED THREAT MODELING BY ADVERSARY NETWORK INFRASTRUCTURE DISCOVERY

Abstract

Threat modeling can help defenders ascertain potential attacker capabilities and resources, allowing better protection of critical networks and systems from sophisticated cyber-attacks. One aspect of the adversary profile that is of interest to defenders is the means to conduct a cyber-attack, including malware capabilities and network infrastructure. Even though most defenders collect data on cyber incidents, extracting knowledge about adversaries to build and improve the threat model can be time-consuming. This thesis applies machine learning methods to historical cyber incident data to enable automated threat modeling of adversary network infrastructure. Using network data of attacker command and control servers based on real-world cyber incidents, specific adversary datasets can be created and enriched using the capabilities of internet-scanning search engines. Mixing these datasets with data from benign or non-associated hosts with similar port-service mappings allows for building an interpretable machine learning model of attackers. Additionally, creating internet-scanning search engine queries based on machine learning model predictions allows for automating threat modeling of adversary infrastructure. Automated threat modeling of adversary network infrastructure allows searching for unknown or emerging threat actor network infrastructure on the Internet.