QUANTIFYING THE VALUE OF ENVIRONMENTAL SOURCES AND OCEANOGRAPHIC FORECASTS IN UNDERSEA WARFARE DECISION-MAKING
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Authors
Cantwell, Joseph
Subjects
acoustic
oceanographic
forecasting
environmental
submarine
detection
undersea warfare
decision-making
decisions
operational
tactical
METOC
FNMOC
adversary
sound velocity
sound velocity profile
temperature
salinity
depth
frequency
range
bearing
transmission loss
bottom depth
passive
SoNAR
HYCOM
GDEM
GOFS
reanalysis
oceanographic
forecasting
environmental
submarine
detection
undersea warfare
decision-making
decisions
operational
tactical
METOC
FNMOC
adversary
sound velocity
sound velocity profile
temperature
salinity
depth
frequency
range
bearing
transmission loss
bottom depth
passive
SoNAR
HYCOM
GDEM
GOFS
reanalysis
Advisors
Regnier, Eva
Huang, Jefferson
Date of Issue
2023-09
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
This thesis explores the critical role of oceanographic forecasting in enhancing the United States Navy's undersea warfare (USW) mission, with a focus on passive sound navigation and ranging (SoNAR) techniques for detecting enemy submarines. Through a comparative analysis of two forecasting sources, one based on daily numerical modeling and the other on historical climatological data, the study assesses their impact on decision outcomes. Surprisingly, the research reveals that climatology offers comparable, if not slightly more reliable results than numerical forecasting, challenging conventional assumptions. The findings emphasize the importance of tailored environmental source selection and forecasting parameters in USW operations, potentially leading to improved mission success. Furthermore, the study suggests the need for further experiments in other regions and evaluating the impact of forecasting source on other USW decisions and the inclusion of classified ambient noise databases to enhance future decision-making processes in USW.
Type
Thesis
Description
Student Thesis (NPS NRP Project Related)
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
NPS Naval Research Program
This project was funded in part by the NPS Naval Research Program.
This project was funded in part by the NPS Naval Research Program.
Funding
This research is supported by funding from the Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program (PE 0605853N/2098). https://nps.edu/nrp
Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)
Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.