STOCHASTIC DUELS FOR EVALUATING GROUND-BASED ANTI-SHIP SYSTEMS
Loading...
Authors
Barlow, Aaron W.
Subjects
expeditionary advanced base operations
ground-based anti-ship missile
ground-based anti-ship missile
Advisors
Kress, Moshe
Atkinson, Michael P.
Date of Issue
2022-06
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The Ground-Based Anti-Ship Missile (GBASM) is a critical capability at the center of the Marine Corps’ concept of Expeditionary Advanced Base Operations and Force Design 2030 initiatives. This research formulates stochastic models for the evaluation of the efficiency and effectiveness of varying GBASM battery configurations in the context of a duel with a surface ship. The models produced are discrete-time Markov chains that model duels between a Blue GBASM battery and a Red surface ship. The models are parameterized to account for varying factors including lethality of Blue and Red, and evaluate salvos based on the number of GBASM delivery platforms and the number of missiles shot per platform. The primary output of this research is a modeling framework that allows an analyst to robustly analyze GBASM systems. Insights from the models reinforce Wayne Hughes’ mantra of “fire effectively first,” and highlight the importance of Blue being able to mass fires into an effective salvo.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research (OR)
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
HQMC Programs and Resources (P&R), Washington D.C.
Funding
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.