Navy Force Structure Review Strategic Risk Workshop and Technology Review
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Authors
Kline, Jeffrey E.
Subjects
strategic risk assessments
technical risk
technical risk
Advisors
Date of Issue
2020-09-24
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The Office of the Chief of Naval Operations (OPNAV) Lead for the 2022-2023 Navy Force Structure Review requested an interdisciplinary Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) team conduct an independent strategic risk and technical risk of the current programmed force structure and three alternatives. Three week-long efforts by thirty NPS faculty and officer scholars from various disciplines produced classified assessments and delivered them to the Navy Force Structure Review study team in narrated briefing style. This report describes the process these two risk assessments used, without providing the classified alternative force designs or results. Each assessment followed a three-phase modified Delphi process. In the first phase, participants individually reviewed alternative force design material provided by the sponsor. The second phase consisted of bringing the participants together to exchange observations. Finally, each participant individually provided assessments without further consultation. In the case of the strategic risk assessment, the second phase included a futures generation workshop to assess alternative fleets. This process is recommended for future use in providing future fleet design strategic risk assessments.
Type
Report
Description
NPS NRP Executive Summary
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
N8 - Integration of Capabilities & Resources
OPNAV N81
OPNAV N81
Funder
This research is supported by funding from the Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program (PE 0605853N/2098). https://nps.edu/nrp
Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)
Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.