Realistic Acquisition Schedule Estimates: A Follow-On Inquiry

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Authors
Franck, Raymond
Hildebrandt, Gregory
Pickar, Charles
Udis, Bernard
Subjects
Advisors
Date of Issue
2017-03
Date
2017-03
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
In a 2016 proceedings paper for this symposium (Franck, Hildebrandt, & Udis, 2016), we outlined and discussed a research agenda with an aim of more realistic acquisition program scheduling estimates, especially for the development (SSD) phase. This paper is intended to continue pursuit of that agenda, with the aim of demonstrating its feasibility and discussing methods of analysis. Accordingly, this paper is presented in four parts: the promise of Systems Dynamics as a schedule-estimating paradigm; a preliminary case study of cost-performance-schedule tradeoffs in the F-35 program; the development of measures of effectiveness for contemporary air-to-air combat; and finally an examination of data sources and empirical models for program and contract schedule uncertainty.
Type
Report
Description
Department
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
SYM-AM-17-091
Sponsors
Naval Postgraduate School Acquisition Research Program
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Citation
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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