An analysis of youth labor force transition probabilities.
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Authors
Harris, Douglas Wayne
Subjects
transition probabilities
transition rates
time stability test
time independence test
Markov process test
movement in the labor force
transition rates
time stability test
time independence test
Markov process test
movement in the labor force
Advisors
Thomas, George W.
Date of Issue
1984-12
Date
December 1984
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
Much of the enlisted supply research to date focuses on
the transition of individuals from high school to the military.
Little is known of those who have chosen other
options, such as further education, employment, or to remain
out of the labor force completely. With the decline of the
17-21 year old male population, research must be directed
towards the entire labor market. This research uses data
from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth to estimate
the transition probabilities among seven possible states for
individuals aged 17-22. The states are high school,
college, active service, employment full time, employment
part time, unemployment, and out of the labor force. Tests
are made to determine if the transition probabilities are
stable across and independent of time. It was found that
the system was generally stable across time but was not
independent of age and labor force history.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Administrative Sciences
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funding
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.