A statistical analysis of the effectiveness of program initial conditions as predictors of weapon system acquisition program success
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Authors
Henry, Douglas Davies
Subjects
Weapons systems acquisition management
Advisors
Eoyang, Carson K.
Date of Issue
1976-12
Date
December 1976
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
This thesis examines the relationship between weapon system acquisition program's initial conditions (project size, technical risk and program length) and program outcomes in the areas of cost, performance and schedule. The study employs a nonparametric correlation procedure and Mann-Whitney U Tests as the principal analytic tools of the examination process.
The results of the analysis indicate that a definite relationship between cost/schedule growth and program size exists. In a significant number of cases, large programs incurred greater absolute cost growth with less schedule slippage than did programs of smaller size. The variance in project technical performance is largely unexplained by the methodology, although there are indications that it is related inversely to program length.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Administrative Sciences
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.