Patterns of Marine Corps Reserve continuation behavior pre- and post-9/11

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Authors
Lizarraga, Joseph M.
Subjects
Advisors
Mehay, Stephen L.
Price, Jonathan D.
Date of Issue
2011-03
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
This thesis identifies the effects of mobilization on Marine Corps Reserve non-prior service (NPS) personnel continuation rates. The research evaluates the retention effects of reservists' expectations about mobilization by analyzing retention data from three separate time periods - Pre-9/11, Overlap-9/11, and Post-9/11. The analysis used monthly observations for NPS reserve enlisted personnel who have completed their initial 6-year obligated drilling contracts. This research analyzed the end of contract "waterfall" period, which describes the drastic drop in reserve continuation that takes place upon the completion of NPS reservists drilling obligation. Analysis was performed using multivariate models for each time period, which consider the effects of mobilization, as well as other explanatory variables for demographics, military performance, education benefits, unit type, geographic region, and unemployment rate. The effects of mobilization on continuation were found to differ depending on mobilization duration, frequency, and time period. Factors negatively influencing continuation were found to include general overseas deployment and longer mobilizations. However, the negative impacts on continuation were found to decrease or become statistically insignificant for those who enlisted after 9/11. Shorter mobilization durations were found to positively impact continuation rates.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funding
Format
xviii, 141 p. : map. ;
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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