CONTESTED LOGISTICS: MODELING FORAGING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR THE SEA TO SUSTAIN THE STAND-IN FORCE
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Authors
Avery, Shawn O.
Subjects
Stand-in Force
SIF
foraging
contested logistics
stochastic modeling
SIF
foraging
contested logistics
stochastic modeling
Advisors
Doerr, Kenneth H.
Seagren, Chad W.
Date of Issue
2024-03
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Stand-in Forces (SIF) are the cornerstone of the Marine Corps operational strategy in the western Pacific. To increase unit resiliency and survivability in a contested maritime domain, Marines will sustain themselves using non-traditional, unpredictable methods of logistics distribution and alternative sources of supply such as foraging. The purpose of this study is to explore the effect of shore-based fishing on SIF self-sufficiency in order to better understand how the sea-based subsistence foraging may be used to overcome contested logistics and sustain the SIF. We use Oracle Crystal Ball to simulate the foraging performance of a squad using shore-based fishing to subsist in the western Pacific. We estimate fishing performance using the total catch equation. Catch per unit effort data for each gear type is estimated using 2005 to 2021 Western Pacific Fisheries Information Network (WPacFIN) shore-based creel surveys for the Northern Mariana Islands. Major findings illustrate that shore-based fishing does not improve SIF self-sufficiency relative to the standard combat ration size. The number of gear-hours required to replace a day of supply of packaged operational rations exceeds the manhours a squad has available.
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Thesis
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Department
Department of Defense Management (DDM)
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Distribution Statement
Distribution Statement A. Approved for public release: Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.