A systems approach to finding cost-effective alternatives to European Ballistic Missile Defense

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Authors
Siddiqui, Irfan
Jacobus, Lucas
Navejas, Abel
Parker, Stephen
Harr, Cameron
Long, David
Wiehe, Blake
Chacon, Abbot
Mellroth, Chris
Adams, Eric
Subjects
Ballistic Missile Defense
EPAA
Aegis Ships
Aegis Ashore
PAC-3
STK
BMD
AN/TPY-2
THAAD
LCC
Boost
Midcourse
Terminal
Shahab
Sejil
Turkey
Advisors
Miller, Gregory
Parker, Gary
Date of Issue
2013-09
Date
Sep-13
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Increasing political tensions between nations, coupled with advancements in technology, have resulted in the need for a Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) system, specifically in the European theater where ally nations are particularly vulnerable. This report focuses on defending Turkey with a solution that could be fielded by FY18. It includes the following mature technologies: Patriot Advanced Capability-3, Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD), Army Navy/Transportable Radar Surveillance (AN/TPY-2), and BMD capable Aegis ships. Compiling the anticipated needs of stakeholders and identifying the most prominent threat focuses the research efforts. To identify any functional gaps the analysis uses functional decomposition and flow block diagrams before entering modeling and simulation. By focusing on footprint area defense and testing multiple scenarios, performance gaps are revealed; generic parameters keep this report unclassified. The results from the simulations led to several alternatives. Alternative A places two BMD Aegis capable ships along the northern and southern coasts of Turkey; Alternative B specifies several THAAD batteries in various locations; and Alternative C dictates an Aegis Ashore in the eastern region of the country. Alternative C was determined to be the best choice, taking into account modeled performance and total life-cycle cost.
Type
Thesis
Description
SYSTEMS ENGINEERING CAPSTONE PROJECT REPORT
Department
Systems Engineering (SE)
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
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Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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