Indications and warning methodology for strategic intelligence

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Authors
Kimmelman, Susann
Subjects
human-centric
human domain
gray zone indicators
warning
indications
Advisors
Simeral, Robert
Wirtz, James
Date of Issue
2017-12
Date
Dec-17
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Today's U.S. intelligence community lacks the human-centric focus needed to develop a forward-looking intelligence estimate. Using a comparative research model, this thesis explored how gray zone indicators used by the U.S. Army Special Operations Command translate into modern indicators for the intelligence community, and sought similar applications for the homeland security enterprise. The research found that, for homeland security, implementing a human-centric indications and warning methodology that focuses on the actor as the key security challenge can help provide advance warning for a planned attack or can indicate a bad actor who is inspiring others to take action.
Type
Thesis
Description
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/10945/56742
Series/Report No
Department
National Security Affairs (NSA)
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Citation
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Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
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Copyright is reserved by the copyright owner.
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