An analysis of Naval officer accession supply: historical factors and future trends/

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dc.contributor.advisorMehay, Stephen L.
dc.contributor.authorLenssen, Franz-Josef
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Administrative Sciences
dc.contributor.secondreaderEitelberg, Mark J.
dc.dateJune 1990
dc.date.accessioned2013-04-11T22:14:51Z
dc.date.available2013-04-11T22:14:51Z
dc.date.issued1990-06
dc.description.abstractThis thesis identifies and analyzes labor market, economic, demographic, and geopolitical factors and trends which are believed to be important to officer accessions. A basic officer supply model is derived from an occupational choice model. The study specifies three different measures of officer supply: applications, new contracts, and accessions. Log-linear regression models using these three dependent variables are then estimated with ordinary least squares techniques. A basic hypothesis was that applications would be a more accurate measure of actual manpower supply, since new contracts and accessions are demand-constrained. The empirical results, however, rejected this hypothesis. Nonetheless, the results indicate that officer supply is affected by some economic variables, in particular civilian wages. In a second step, the basic officer supply models are estimated for specific officer programs such as nuclear officers, nurses, medical officers, and the entire medical corps. The estimated regression equations for the separate programs were not sufficiently robust to allow accurate forecasting. Possible causes for the inadequate results are discussed.en_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
dc.description.serviceLieutenant Commander, German Navyen_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/annalysisofnaval1094530651
dc.format.extentviii, 85 p.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10945/30651
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsCopyright is reserved by the copyright owner.en_US
dc.subject.authorOfficer supply modelsen_US
dc.subject.authorregression analysisen_US
dc.subject.authorapplicationsen_US
dc.subject.authornew contractsen_US
dc.subject.authoraccessionsen_US
dc.subject.authorofficer recruitingen_US
dc.subject.lcshArmed Forces,Officersen_US
dc.subject.lcshArmed Forces,Officers,Recruitingen_US
dc.subject.lcshSailors.en_US
dc.titleAn analysis of Naval officer accession supply: historical factors and future trends/en_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineManagementen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S. in Managementen_US
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