Predicting significant factors of Selective Marine Corps Reserve Marine’s career decisions in response to the Force Structure Review review
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Authors
Capdepon, Ryan F.
Subjects
Selective Marine Corps Reserve
Force Structure Review Group
Personnel Transition Team
Logistic regression model
Marine Forces Reserve
Force Structure Review Group
Personnel Transition Team
Logistic regression model
Marine Forces Reserve
Advisors
Hatch, Bill
Seagren, Chad W.
Date of Issue
2014-03
Date
Mar-14
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Significant variables contributed to a Selective Marine Corps Reserve Marine's career decision when faced with changes initiated by the Force Structure Review Group (FSRG). This thesis identifies those variables using research conducted in response to recent Secretary of Navy and Marine Corps research initiatives. A narrative captures the development and roles of the personnel transition team concept created by Marine Forces Reserves in response to changes resulting from the FSRG. Additionally, a decision probability model is developed to estimate Marines' decisions during changes similar to those outlined in the FSRG. The data set consists of 4,170 Marines separated into three categories based on contractual obligations and location in respect to reserve sites. Nine logistic regression models estimated the effects of independent variables on a Marine's decision to transfer, interunit transfer, or stay. The findings conclude that military occupational specialty, location, performance, rank, age, deployments, and race all significantly affect a Marine's decision. The decision probability model uses the logistic regression models to estimate Marines' decisions for future events similar to the FSRG. It provides a critical tool that will help planning and execution for future changes.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP)
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
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Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.