A statistical model for determining Naval Academy inputs to assure specified naval officer outputs.

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Authors
Treadwell, Lawrence P.
Subjects
Advisors
Woods, W.M.
Date of Issue
1965
Date
A statistical model for determining Naval Academy inputs and resultant Naval Officer outputs has been developed. Data pertaining to Naval Academy classes for the past thirty years was collected and studied. The basic model considered each graduate sampled as a BERNOULLI Trial. By regression analysis, best estimators for the parameters (proportions of success) for each population of graduates in different grades, were determined. Probabilities were then calculated for a randomly selected graduate, commissioned ENSIGN, to serve in successive grades, with a specified confidence. An INPUT/OUTPUT formula was derived. This paper will provide current personnel planners with accurate officer planning requirements. The author wishes to express his appreciation for the thoroughly outstanding assistance and encouragement given him by Professor W. M. Woods of the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School.
Publisher
Monterey, California: U.S. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
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Operations Analysis
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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