QUANTIFYING POLITICAL DISRUPTIONS ON FUEL SUPPLY CHAINS AND MILITARY MICROGRID OPERATIONS IN WEST AFRICA
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Authors
Staffnik, Abigail E.
Subjects
microgrid
resilience
political
non-violent protest
cost modeling
resilience
political
non-violent protest
cost modeling
Advisors
Giachetti, Ronald E.
Meierding, Emily L.
Van Bossuyt, Douglas L.
Date of Issue
2023-12
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
This thesis addresses the challenge of ensuring resilient energy for Department of Defense (DoD) microgrids in politically volatile regions. It proposes an integrated model that assesses political risks, simulates fuel supply chain logistics, and evaluates microgrid systems using AnyLogic software. Utilizing AnyLogic and Global Terrorism Database insights, the study simulates disruptions over ten years, measuring power outages and availability in DoD microgrids. The results show that a diesel generator-powered military installation in Africa can benefit from over 10% increase in power availability and a decrease in the number of power outages and their duration when a military installation is supplemented with photovoltaic panels and battery storage systems, even under politically unstable conditions, as compared to a military installation solely reliant on diesel generators. Although installing photovoltaic panels and battery storage systems is subject to many conditions, such as space, maintenance availability, and funding, these findings highlight the need for robust energy solutions in volatile regions and provide a quantitative basis for strategic energy planning.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Systems Engineering (SE)
Organization
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NPS Report Number
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Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.