An analysis of factors affecting promotion, retention, and performance for USMC officers: a graduate education perspective
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Authors
Wielsma, Ronald J.
Subjects
Advisors
Cook, Mike
Dougherty, Julie A.
Date of Issue
1996-03
Date
March, 1996
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
This thesis analyzes the factors associated with promotion to 0-4, retention to the 0-4 promotion point, and actual performance ratings. One factor, graduate education, is specifically targeted for detailed analysis to determine its direct effects on the measures of on-the-job performance. A Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC) cohort file of USMC officers who were commissioned during fiscal year 1980 is merged with Automated Fitness Report System (AFRS) files and Headquarters Master File (HMF) information to analyze performance differences between officers who have and have not obtained a postgraduate education. Nonparametric, ordinary least squares (OLS), and non-linear maximum likelihood (PROBIT) techniques are used to estimate the selection, retention and promotion models. The results suggest that actual on-the-job performance is an important factor in determining promotion, retention, and who attends graduate education. Graduate education appears to have a positive effect on promotion; however, failure to correct for retention and selection issues biases the estimated effects of graduate education upward. Further study using more sophisticated techniques is recommended to clarify the interrelationships among promotion, retention, performance, and graduate education to gain more information on the magnitude and direction of these potential biases.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
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NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
77 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.