Significant factors in predicting promotion to Major, Lieutenant Colonel, and Colonel in the United States Marine Corps

dc.contributor.advisorHatch, Bill
dc.contributor.advisorPema, Elda
dc.contributor.authorHoffman, Joel M.
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-14T17:41:08Z
dc.date.available2012-03-14T17:41:08Z
dc.date.issued2008-03
dc.description.abstractMultiple factors influence a Marine officer's probability of promotion. Currently, MMOA-4 counselors are not able to provide career advice based on statistical analysis of the multitude of variables that could be significant in an officer's potential to advance to the next higher grade. Development of a statistical counseling model provides MMOA-4 the ability to examine an officer's current predicted probability of promotion as well as his future potential for advancement--given a set of possible career choices. Such a model may increase the effectiveness of the career counseling process and potentially impact USMC officer retention and performance. This study makes recommendations to improve the Marine Corps Performance Evaluation System (PES). The researcher's analysis of eight years of fitness report data indicates that current procedures (which use raw numbers to evaluate the effects of the Reviewing Officers (RO) assessment) should be changed to a percentile system. The current system only provides a generalized output that has limited value in fitness report analysis. The raw numbers of the comparative assessment limit the possibility of comparing officers across a grade for each RO. The exact value of the percentile system allows for officers to be differentiated and compared across grade. This is similar to the relative value system used for Reporting Senior (RS) markings. This new system will allow officers to be shown as below average, average or above average for each RO, similarly to what is currently being recorded by each RS. Ultimately, this would increase the effectiveness of retention, promotion, command, and resident school selections by empowering the board members with the ability to screen officers utilizing the RO percentile system.en_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
dc.description.serviceUS Marine Corps (USMC) author.en_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/significantfacto109454227
dc.format.extentxiv, 195 p. : ill. ;en_US
dc.identifier.oclc227338865
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10945/4227
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.subject.lcshPersonnel managementen_US
dc.subject.lcshManagementen_US
dc.subject.lcshVocational guidanceen_US
dc.titleSignificant factors in predicting promotion to Major, Lieutenant Colonel, and Colonel in the United States Marine Corpsen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineManagementen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S.en_US
etd.verifiednoen_US
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