FORGING SILICON INNOVATION AND INDEPENDENCE: STATE PLANNING, FOREIGN DEPENDENCE, AND CONTAINMENT IN CHINA'S SEMICONDUCTOR AMBITIONS

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Authors
Fuller, Courtney L.
Subjects
China
semiconductors
supply chain
technology transfer
technology
United States
Taiwan
Advisors
Meyskens, Covell F.
Date of Issue
2024-06
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
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Abstract
During the 21st century, China has identified semiconductor technology as crucial for advancing its science and technology ambitions, emphasizing the need for indigenous innovation and self-sufficiency. However, by 2023, scholars and reports suggest that China has not achieved these goals. This thesis explores the factors influencing China's semiconductor ambitions, focusing on state planning, foreign dependence, and foreign containment from 2000 to 2023. The findings indicate that state planning negatively impacted both innovation and self-sufficiency. The Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) micromanagement stifled innovation, while its financial strategies led to misallocated resources, hindering self-sustainability. Foreign dependence yielded mixed results: although foreign technology, know-how, and talent contributed to some progress, they failed to significantly advance China’s domestic workforce or provide substantial technological breakthroughs. The impact of foreign containment evolved over time. It was minimal in the first decade but became significant in the latter, severely affecting China’s self-sufficiency. As China relied heavily on foreign technology and expertise, containment measures increasingly hampered its ability to cultivate domestic innovation and self-sufficiency.
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Thesis
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Distribution Statement A. Approved for public release: Distribution is unlimited.
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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