A quantitative analysis of defense expenditure patterns in Warsaw Treaty Organization countries : 1960-1974.

Abstract

This thesis analyzes military expenditure patterns for the East European members of the Warsaw Treaty Organization. The study examines data using a cross-sectional methodology for 1966 and 1974, and a longitudinal methodology for the period 1960-1974. Non-parametric statistical methods as well as correlation and regression analysis are used to uncover the various factors most influential in WTO defense budgeting, both region-wide and for specific member countries. Forecasting models are developed for use in predicting military expenditures for individual countries as well as the "typical" WTO country. A general discussion of model use with different data sources is also presented.