2030 BATTERY WORKFORCE SUPPLY PROJECTION

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Authors
Popovic, Nikola
Subjects
bwd
battery
supply
prediction
workforce
mining
extraction
engineering
national
security
education
planing
labor
marker
gaps
skills
knowledge
abilities
Advisors
Sims, Mary J.
Bacolod, Marigee
Date of Issue
2025-03
Date
Publisher
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School
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Abstract
Storing energy for future use is critical in various national security applications. Lithium-ion batteries are the most effective and proven technology to achieve this goal. However, the U.S. currently lacks an adequate industrial and labor base to meet the projected domestic demand for this battery technology. This study aims to assess the projected U.S. battery workforce supply by 2030, focusing on key occupations within battery production. Utilizing census data, descriptive statistics, and a log-linear regression model, the analysis predicts the labor supply for the battery workforce across the U.S. Overall, it is likely that the U.S. will have a sufficient base of potential workers who could be trained to enter the battery workforce. However, these workers may not be inclined to undergo the extensive training required to switch industries. Additionally, state-level projections indicate a misalignment between labor supply and the locations of key battery manufacturing hubs. This could result in labor shortages in certain regions. Investing in employee training and education is crucial to enhance participation in core battery workforce occupations. Furthermore, the battery manufacturing sector represents only a small fraction of employers in occupations essential to their business. Therefore, additional research is needed to identify the most effective strategies for attracting and retaining high-quality workers in the battery manufacturing sector.
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Distribution Statement A. Approved for public release: Distribution is unlimited.
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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